Low Owned BBMV Targets
With BBMV now being 94% filled, here is a list of 8 players who are at sub 5% ownership in the contest that are worth targeting. Since it’s impossible for these players to get above 10% total ownership now, the upside of these guys even remotely paying off is huge, now is the time to care about ownership. Shoutout to Diablo on Twitter for putting together BBMDB and making this possible! Make sure to drop them a follow and check out BBMDB.
John Metchie: (0%) Noah Brown got released and unless you think Robert Woods is a real threat to him, he looks like he is the locked-in WR4 in HOU. He’s my favorite player in the group. If we knew with confidence who the WR4 was on HOU all summer, that player would have 100% of a Top 200 ADP. Value is more contingency-based than anything else but he could surprise us and earn some targets even with the big 3 in Houston all being healthy.
Noah Brown: (3%) Recently released by the Texans but looked great when he was called on last year. Lands in Washington who just dumped Jahan Dotson for peanuts — has a real shot at being the WR2 there immediately, and with that being said he should be locked into 3WR sets at worst. Out of this group Brown arguably has the highest floor — no WR as far up the depth chart as he should be on WAS should be less than 10% drafted — would work hard to add him in over your last stretch of BBM drafts.
Trey Sermon: (2%) Was surprised to see his ownership as low as it is — seems like everyone quit taking him as soon as he got hurt in camp. With Hull getting released and the Colts not taking a run at Perine or Cook (or at least landing them) Sermon looks locked in as the RB2 in Indy — and no bonafide RB2 on a team should be this low-owned, you can basically guarantee that you’ll get him in the 18th round in every draft — for sure worth some dart throws as your last RB taken.
Samaje Perine: (0%) Don’t take him in the 140s-150s like some folks are, but in their defense, this man is the RB2 in KC and I don’t need to go on a rant on how good of a contingency spot that is for fantasy. I think his standalone value may be lower than people think but getting the KC RB2 at sub 5-8% ownership is a pick worth taking.
Cam Akers: (3%) Dameon Pierce could very well be #notgood and Akers has shown some burst in his preseason showings. Houston will be a great offense and you should want the RB2 on any offense that is at least good. I don’t feel great about this one but that’s also why they’re this low owned. If JK Dobbins can be taken in 100% of drafts, Cam Akers deserves to be taken at least in the single digit %s.
Dalvin Cook: (0%) There is a path to volume for Cook in what should be a top-half of the league offense in Dallas. His competition is another past their-prime RB (Zeke) and a complete unknown in terms of talent with Rico Dowdle. I’m not salivating over the idea of Dalvin Cook in a BBM but with him coming in this low — working in 1-2% of him isn’t the worst thing you could do.
Cedric Tillman: (3%) Needs one of Elijah Moore or Jerry Jeudy to get hurt and or perform below expectation to get on the field — but those outcomes aren’t that far out there. He's not the sexiest pick of the group but with Cleveland committing to being a team that passes the ball, their young WR4 that they spent a 3rd round pick on is worth a flier if 90% of the field doesn’t think he is.
Mack Hollins: (1%) Curtis Samuel is coming into the season with turf toe and the reports on Keon Coleman through camp haven’t been the best — this man has a real path to 3WR sets and is on a team with a fantasy-friendly (the friendliest even) QB and a subpar defense. Wouldn’t expect much to come from this but he does have a path to succeeding.